Results

In-Sample Trajectories

## [1] "Alabama-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Alaska-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Arizona-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Arkansas-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "California-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Colorado-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Connecticut-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Delaware-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Florida-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Georgia-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Hawaii-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Idaho-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Illinois-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Indiana-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Iowa-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Kansas-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Kentucky-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Louisiana-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Maine-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Maryland-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Massachusetts-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Michigan-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Minnesota-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Mississippi-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Missouri-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Montana-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Nebraska-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Nevada-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "New Hampshire-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "New Jersey-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "New Mexico-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "New York-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "North Carolina-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "North Dakota-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Ohio-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Oklahoma-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Oregon-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Pennsylvania-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Rhode Island-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "South Carolina-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "South Dakota-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Tennessee-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Texas-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Utah-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Vermont-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Virginia-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Washington-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "West Virginia-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Wisconsin-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Wyoming-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

Projections

## [1] "Alabama-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Alaska-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Arizona-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Arkansas-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "California-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Colorado-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Connecticut-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Delaware-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Florida-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Georgia-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Hawaii-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Idaho-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Illinois-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Indiana-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Iowa-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Kansas-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Kentucky-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Louisiana-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Maine-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Maryland-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Massachusetts-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Michigan-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Minnesota-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Mississippi-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Missouri-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Montana-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Nebraska-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Nevada-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "New Hampshire-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "New Jersey-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "New Mexico-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "New York-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "North Carolina-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "North Dakota-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Ohio-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Oklahoma-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Oregon-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Pennsylvania-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Rhode Island-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "South Carolina-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "South Dakota-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Tennessee-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Texas-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Utah-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Vermont-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Virginia-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Washington-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "West Virginia-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Wisconsin-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

## [1] "Wyoming-COV-2020-06-05-17-26_results.rds"

Parameter Estimates

[1] “Alabama”

MLE Names
4.3832807 beta_s
9.5871228 theta_cases
2.3051780 theta_deaths
0.0016280 sigma_dw
3.4181385 b1
-0.2457232 b2
-1.9561382 b3
-2.9614505 b4
-2.3793894 b5
-3.1099243 b6
-2.1773258 b7
-4.9296009 b8
-6.8171120 b9
0.6271221 E1_0

[1] “Alaska”

MLE Names
0.8660404 beta_s
7.6597372 theta_cases
39.8781691 theta_deaths
0.0006461 sigma_dw
1.4513974 b1
5.5698035 b2
0.5729251 b3
-1.2678631 b4
-1.2075768 b5
-0.5668896 b6
-2.0229860 b7
6.2014445 b8
-6.7551775 b9
0.4515722 E1_0

[1] “Arizona”

MLE Names
1.0770181 beta_s
6.8643140 theta_cases
1.2966299 theta_deaths
0.0019226 sigma_dw
1.7690856 b1
8.1905350 b2
0.3741271 b3
-1.5371412 b4
-0.1941958 b5
-0.8539139 b6
-1.7595679 b7
0.8619449 b8
-8.7433635 b9
2.3792348 E1_0

[1] “Arkansas”

MLE Names
1.7571766 beta_s
1.0736524 theta_cases
28.5321081 theta_deaths
0.0764253 sigma_dw
0.7324652 b1
5.8388880 b2
-4.3169564 b3
0.2105329 b4
-3.1079559 b5
-1.1140663 b6
-1.8785710 b7
-1.0179625 b8
-5.7512111 b9
3.7504265 E1_0

[1] “California”

MLE Names
0.7679440 beta_s
3.3360277 theta_cases
6.2558387 theta_deaths
0.0982052 sigma_dw
-5.9639320 b1
4.4538233 b2
1.6699127 b3
-0.3566824 b4
0.3141593 b5
-1.1993872 b6
0.1299772 b7
-1.2655620 b8
-6.6051448 b9
316.1224838 E1_0

[1] “Colorado”

MLE Names
43.4988985 beta_s
1.5072903 theta_cases
2.0518339 theta_deaths
0.0074390 sigma_dw
-0.7201826 b1
-3.8120485 b2
-4.2327683 b3
-5.0612641 b4
-4.4131104 b5
-5.4395973 b6
-5.0976059 b7
-6.2925416 b8
2.6913169 b9
70.0343141 E1_0

[1] “Connecticut”

MLE Names
28.1727071 beta_s
0.5393516 theta_cases
2.0645410 theta_deaths
0.0044716 sigma_dw
7.4361417 b1
-2.2784788 b2
-3.8399978 b3
-3.9837844 b4
-4.8344309 b5
-4.0535381 b6
-5.8121884 b7
-5.1151040 b8
4.4607982 b9
1.9341442 E1_0

[1] “Delaware”

MLE Names
7.368884e-01 beta_s
1.639711e+00 theta_cases
5.870767e+05 theta_deaths
2.485000e-04 sigma_dw
-1.225803e+01 b1
9.570659e+00 b2
2.054266e+00 b3
9.110913e-01 b4
-4.380060e-02 b5
-7.054830e-01 b6
-3.531063e-01 b7
-3.841845e+00 b8
-2.747761e+00 b9
9.130543e+00 E1_0

[1] “Florida”

MLE Names
2.5796337 beta_s
3.2728678 theta_cases
2.1216102 theta_deaths
0.0005507 sigma_dw
0.8683030 b1
0.1049252 b2
-0.4627358 b3
-2.3193533 b4
-1.6972446 b5
-2.2693533 b6
-1.9132082 b7
-2.6832272 b8
4.5606761 b9
25.4575239 E1_0

[1] “Georgia”

MLE Names
0.7991285 beta_s
8.6324599 theta_cases
1.5128819 theta_deaths
0.0705818 sigma_dw
3.7283050 b1
10.7905645 b2
0.9296338 b3
-0.4128370 b4
-0.6082050 b5
-0.7504206 b6
-0.8060683 b7
-1.0456447 b8
-1.5366543 b9
50.2903114 E1_0

[1] “Hawaii”

MLE Names
1.937327e+00 beta_s
9.152745e+00 theta_cases
1.587970e+08 theta_deaths
9.849700e-03 sigma_dw
4.910392e+00 b1
-1.471515e-01 b2
-1.258713e+00 b3
-1.076093e+00 b4
-2.809073e+00 b5
-9.551263e-01 b6
-1.525317e+00 b7
-2.788907e+00 b8
-4.999991e-01 b9
2.258636e+00 E1_0

[1] “Idaho”

MLE Names
1.0767182 beta_s
1.6567218 theta_cases
21601.1535890 theta_deaths
0.0071737 sigma_dw
0.6177066 b1
11.4096293 b2
0.4007062 b3
-2.6539379 b4
-0.7805213 b5
-1.3849872 b6
-1.1556275 b7
-0.6646392 b8
0.1707422 b9
3.2688359 E1_0

[1] “Illinois”

MLE Names
2.2476984 beta_s
14.6391180 theta_cases
1.6027743 theta_deaths
0.0024084 sigma_dw
-1.7141346 b1
2.4938988 b2
-0.8037274 b3
-1.8963179 b4
-1.2587652 b5
-1.9231590 b6
-1.9470441 b7
-3.7622361 b8
9.9183513 b9
6.9991231 E1_0

[1] “Indiana”

MLE Names
1.3811614 beta_s
24.9991814 theta_cases
0.8769846 theta_deaths
0.0774635 sigma_dw
1.0748508 b1
9.1046625 b2
0.0092665 b3
-1.9595249 b4
-0.4927205 b5
-1.9065220 b6
-1.3766221 b7
-2.1154377 b8
-1.8707313 b9
3.5616387 E1_0

[1] “Iowa”

MLE Names
0.6254620 beta_s
6.3837751 theta_cases
118.3940159 theta_deaths
0.0051740 sigma_dw
0.7264101 b1
11.0085013 b2
1.8088607 b3
0.1926240 b4
1.6534336 b5
-1.1351259 b6
-0.2029071 b7
-1.3944888 b8
9.5707823 b9
15.8411012 E1_0

[1] “Kansas”

MLE Names
1.4339078 beta_s
0.4291026 theta_cases
4.8259693 theta_deaths
0.0316215 sigma_dw
3.4013807 b1
4.1131471 b2
-0.2304138 b3
-2.6669240 b4
-0.4915859 b5
-2.0919410 b6
-1.0687782 b7
-2.9012028 b8
8.3570077 b9
4.3096916 E1_0

[1] “Kentucky”

MLE Names
2.7947434 beta_s
0.7539810 theta_cases
4.2150846 theta_deaths
0.0170410 sigma_dw
-3.3426369 b1
0.9429043 b2
-1.5704903 b3
-2.5019407 b4
-2.0922008 b5
-2.3779705 b6
-2.1723065 b7
-2.1317246 b8
1.6241936 b9
15.4755321 E1_0

[1] “Louisiana”

MLE Names
49.7828167 beta_s
1.2290190 theta_cases
2.8047578 theta_deaths
0.0026207 sigma_dw
8.5211000 b1
-2.1776334 b2
-5.8482218 b3
-4.8919174 b4
-5.3781044 b5
-5.3552566 b6
-5.4443590 b7
-5.3082395 b8
-0.1048900 b9
0.5958535 E1_0

[1] “Maine”

MLE Names
1.9435960 beta_s
8.9320161 theta_cases
3120.3829864 theta_deaths
0.0073119 sigma_dw
9.0045089 b1
0.2108416 b2
-1.4582032 b3
-1.8898450 b4
-1.8024249 b5
-1.0442271 b6
-2.0880028 b7
-2.7089510 b8
-2.6600121 b9
4.5485636 E1_0

[1] “Maryland”

MLE Names
0.8610137 beta_s
14.7344693 theta_cases
1.2899783 theta_deaths
0.0265646 sigma_dw
8.1214589 b1
3.2764042 b2
5.8996233 b3
-1.0569863 b4
0.2665412 b5
-0.4132983 b6
-0.7641824 b7
-1.4361090 b8
11.0369859 b9
18.1210610 E1_0

[1] “Massachusetts”

MLE Names
0.5602947 beta_s
0.9630255 theta_cases
2.4022951 theta_deaths
0.5427711 sigma_dw
4.0561589 b1
4.2768784 b2
1.9572243 b3
3.9534372 b4
-1.0713924 b5
1.8130655 b6
-3.9589934 b7
8.0674364 b8
5163.6119078 E1_0

[1] “Michigan”

MLE Names
0.6889367 beta_s
8.3823152 theta_cases
0.5473018 theta_deaths
0.0013519 sigma_dw
0.1860367 b1
9.4889459 b2
-1.9521796 b3
1.6262684 b4
0.0241241 b5
-0.4544147 b6
-0.2706015 b7
-0.8208773 b8
-2.1046806 b9
0.1644263 b10
392.4528476 E1_0

[1] “Minnesota”

MLE Names
6.4972237 beta_s
10.8792458 theta_cases
1.1918710 theta_deaths
0.0414302 sigma_dw
4.4122095 b1
-2.7479404 b2
-2.2088759 b3
-3.0549003 b4
-1.7760835 b5
-3.1229172 b6
-2.9912439 b7
-4.7561553 b8
2.9175244 b9
26.1760091 E1_0

[1] “Mississippi”

MLE Names
3.1986705 beta_s
11.2898637 theta_cases
3.8214672 theta_deaths
0.0085941 sigma_dw
2.9188204 b1
1.2601813 b2
-2.5004595 b3
-2.0278527 b4
-2.1393914 b5
-2.6526173 b6
-2.3708373 b7
-3.1538079 b8
-5.3470889 b9
2.2113987 E1_0

[1] “Missouri”

MLE Names
1.6326678 beta_s
3.5414687 theta_cases
1.2946470 theta_deaths
0.0000003 sigma_dw
-9.4514594 b1
6.2027874 b2
-0.3747460 b3
-2.5277482 b4
-0.6039613 b5
-2.7330461 b6
-1.1462680 b7
-2.7009356 b8
3.4081337 b9
0.7236528 E1_0

[1] “Montana”

MLE Names
0.8340736 beta_s
735.6989150 theta_cases
16.4219164 theta_deaths
0.0375287 sigma_dw
-4.7891255 b1
11.7388123 b2
-1.7710919 b3
-0.7914097 b4
-3.2922283 b5
1.0314225 b6
-3.0616442 b7
7.1441004 b8
-3.9123313 b9
3.4257893 E1_0

[1] “Nebraska”

MLE Names
0.6628456 beta_s
4.7368996 theta_cases
1.9252980 theta_deaths
0.0156103 sigma_dw
5.2259122 b1
-0.8645979 b2
3.6865228 b3
-0.8840122 b4
3.4848650 b5
-1.9286479 b6
0.3431453 b7
-1.2564444 b8
-1.2186194 b9
8.9707773 E1_0

[1] “Nevada”

MLE Names
3.1252629 beta_s
5.9555705 theta_cases
3.5474830 theta_deaths
0.0021872 sigma_dw
7.4075383 b1
-0.7865413 b2
-0.7653508 b3
-2.3529299 b4
-1.8593127 b5
-2.3050703 b6
-1.6805577 b7
-3.1253133 b8
-3.8497236 b9
0.8675513 E1_0

[1] “New Hampshire”

MLE Names
0.8596934 beta_s
0.8335366 theta_cases
1.7376862 theta_deaths
0.0000004 sigma_dw
-3.2449419 b1
16.3280705 b2
0.2427325 b3
-1.0249739 b4
1.3432343 b5
-1.1031636 b6
-0.5985241 b7
-2.6738037 b8
2.7157040 b9
2.6805880 E1_0

[1] “New Jersey”

MLE Names
2.2620454 beta_s
14.8193540 theta_cases
0.7786405 theta_deaths
0.0041370 sigma_dw
-7.7196313 b1
2.6857535 b2
0.0578700 b3
-2.0685471 b4
-1.2120120 b5
-2.4748451 b6
-1.2565394 b7
-4.2075857 b8
2.2806926 b9
34.0321779 E1_0

[1] “New Mexico”

MLE Names
0.5376273 beta_s
3.6097858 theta_cases
5098.1138521 theta_deaths
0.0971521 sigma_dw
-1.4143173 b1
2.1553615 b2
8.0251851 b3
0.0136534 b4
1.2765158 b5
-0.1545684 b6
-0.7808818 b7
0.1425139 b8
-0.5123057 b9
14.8113454 E1_0

[1] “New York”

MLE Names
8.8149063 beta_s
1.5018783 theta_cases
17.1895264 theta_deaths
0.0000006 sigma_dw
4.4208825 b1
1.6995483 b2
-3.2718768 b3
-3.3245789 b4
-2.8426869 b5
-3.7520711 b6
-3.3433013 b7
-3.6720524 b8
-1.9107269 b9
12.7560447 E1_0

[1] “North Carolina”

MLE Names
1.3242633 beta_s
7.5941685 theta_cases
3.6234649 theta_deaths
0.0000859 sigma_dw
2.5387090 b1
4.3970900 b2
-0.3831991 b3
-1.2386390 b4
-0.9369233 b5
-1.4123034 b6
-1.0646363 b7
-1.6729640 b8
1.2772890 b9
1.8322779 E1_0

[1] “North Dakota”

MLE Names
0.8709721 beta_s
5.5523280 theta_cases
182.3761918 theta_deaths
0.0696385 sigma_dw
-5.9033475 b1
13.3989778 b2
-3.1112856 b3
1.5745511 b4
-1.0651375 b5
0.1381174 b6
-1.3803690 b7
-2.5763932 b8
8.2226590 b9
1.0267111 E1_0

[1] “Ohio”

MLE Names
1.5075323 beta_s
12.8760787 theta_cases
0.9909933 theta_deaths
0.0372012 sigma_dw
8.3416197 b1
9.9571722 b2
-2.3680984 b3
-0.3310063 b4
-1.5213935 b5
-1.5323038 b6
-1.5649924 b7
-2.1749583 b8
-11.7267141 b9
3.4294267 E1_0

[1] “Oklahoma”

MLE Names
5.3218602 beta_s
6.4953843 theta_cases
3.7995468 theta_deaths
0.0005497 sigma_dw
0.7822881 b1
-1.4992952 b2
-1.5141884 b3
-3.6614332 b4
-2.9177543 b5
-2.7894311 b6
-3.8031529 b7
-1.7814602 b8
-7.6904596 b9
3.9669594 E1_0

[1] “Oregon”

MLE Names
0.6715007 beta_s
1.9958618 theta_cases
283.7947192 theta_deaths
0.0000366 sigma_dw
5.5207477 b1
1.3779230 b2
2.1538132 b3
-1.6335380 b4
0.1533807 b5
-0.5179400 b6
-1.3439489 b7
1.5728192 b8
1.4760932 b9
29.0469813 E1_0

[1] “Pennsylvania”

MLE Names
1.1791103 beta_s
5.2940354 theta_cases
0.5647360 theta_deaths
0.0048053 sigma_dw
-5.4010531 b1
1.5978638 b2
2.6859822 b3
-1.8185147 b4
-0.5941377 b5
-1.3463901 b6
-1.5930228 b7
-1.3733244 b8
-8.4993047 b9
51.7332260 E1_0

[1] “Rhode Island”

MLE Names
0.8916566 beta_s
6.3899914 theta_cases
4.1387560 theta_deaths
0.0085126 sigma_dw
6.6061429 b1
-4.1104605 b2
7.4756205 b3
2.8823601 b4
-0.1881508 b5
-0.7084982 b6
-0.0702677 b7
-2.3402086 b8
0.5867052 b9
-5.7143098 b10
2.1707632 E1_0

[1] “South Carolina”

MLE Names
1.1958583 beta_s
0.4654289 theta_cases
1.1403787 theta_deaths
0.0000739 sigma_dw
-7.1941028 b1
10.2981147 b2
-3.7945884 b3
0.5129097 b4
-2.0972274 b5
-0.9384692 b6
-1.3484785 b7
-1.6676106 b8
-6.5833347 b9
13.6126551 E1_0

[1] “South Dakota”

MLE Names
1.1261697 beta_s
5.5806531 theta_cases
0.6213299 theta_deaths
0.0010196 sigma_dw
-2.2544214 b1
0.0873311 b2
0.3148881 b3
0.8743345 b4
-2.4353787 b5
0.3173868 b6
-3.1101028 b7
1.2109278 b8
-8.9851958 b9
4.0663382 E1_0

[1] “Tennessee”

MLE Names
1.7237078 beta_s
6.0127530 theta_cases
2.6696593 theta_deaths
0.0004663 sigma_dw
-3.8016786 b1
2.3335783 b2
-0.9779890 b3
-2.4115135 b4
-0.5007558 b5
-2.6391360 b6
-1.0801390 b7
-2.3748471 b8
-2.2017089 b9
14.3208330 E1_0

[1] “Texas”

MLE Names
0.9943245 beta_s
7.3301103 theta_cases
3.9568634 theta_deaths
0.0643353 sigma_dw
4.4310678 b1
-0.5894229 b2
3.5557097 b3
-1.7650326 b4
-0.4987843 b5
-0.7161411 b6
-1.9351249 b7
1.6658774 b8
-5.4110161 b9
28.0077083 E1_0

[1] “Utah”

MLE Names
15.5525526 beta_s
6.4119635 theta_cases
1.4355752 theta_deaths
0.0064725 sigma_dw
7.7424789 b1
-2.8321898 b2
-3.4131342 b3
-4.2725437 b4
-3.4796673 b5
-4.4068478 b6
-3.9059943 b7
-4.0609309 b8
5.5513858 b9
2.5733278 E1_0

[1] “Vermont”

MLE Names
0.8510260 beta_s
9.4140403 theta_cases
527.2883252 theta_deaths
0.0193741 sigma_dw
-3.8853633 b1
3.3315833 b2
1.7126027 b3
-2.1982997 b4
-0.3503585 b5
-1.3727691 b6
-0.5564238 b7
2.4338321 b8
0.1323964 b9
12.4956169 E1_0

[1] “Virginia”

MLE Names
0.7393459 beta_s
4.2978281 theta_cases
3.5881218 theta_deaths
0.0010020 sigma_dw
2.3979621 b1
0.1671817 b2
5.5290566 b3
-0.8808843 b4
0.4853323 b5
-0.5090894 b6
-0.0303524 b7
-1.8168511 b8
1.8469957 b9
37.8195271 E1_0

[1] “Washington”

MLE Names
0.6010624 beta_s
0.3331323 theta_cases
1.0464229 theta_deaths
0.0129503 sigma_dw
-2.4480369 b1
-0.0531549 b2
0.4186632 b3
5.3696924 b4
-4.5927551 b5
6.3437589 b6
-2.8486400 b7
3.7394780 b8
-2.8970479 b9
1.6711450 b10
0.4995016 b11
9.6088591 b12
-12.3818169 b13
1.3089692 b14
0.8919281 E1_0

[1] “West Virginia”

MLE Names
1.7129790 beta_s
4.4054365 theta_cases
407.1700005 theta_deaths
0.0038430 sigma_dw
-13.1537970 b1
1.0496058 b2
0.4239094 b3
-2.1263263 b4
-1.4445385 b5
-2.4747696 b6
-0.2033668 b7
-5.6714306 b8
-1.1239791 b9
0.2752931 E1_0

[1] “Wisconsin”

MLE Names
45.4264257 beta_s
9.4037611 theta_cases
4.8099992 theta_deaths
0.0000067 sigma_dw
0.8054664 b1
-3.3501132 b2
-4.0057051 b3
-5.8564755 b4
-4.1005972 b5
-5.5403732 b6
-4.5046283 b7
-6.4576530 b8
0.1028113 b9
0.1832401 E1_0

[1] “Wyoming”

MLE Names
0.4383731 beta_s
1.4902249 theta_cases
111.2359509 theta_deaths
0.0000917 sigma_dw
-4.5409782 b1
4.5168397 b2
4.8869817 b3
-4.2186812 b4
3.8899017 b5
-1.0348022 b6
1.2956331 b7
-6.2906577 b8
2.1341080 b9
11.2802202 E1_0

Baseline transmission rate parameters